3 Key Factors That Could Keep Steve Sarkisian’s Texas Out of the CFP Championship

Texas struggles with inconsistent quarterback play, a tough schedule ahead, and defensive depth issues.

Texas’s showdown with Ohio State is not just another game; it’s a monumental clash in the world of college football. The Buckeyes are riding high, showcasing some of the best football in the nation and standing tall as the odds-on favorites to clinch the championship. However, the Longhorns have carved their own path to this historic moment, proving they belong in the spotlight.

Texas’s Path to the Semifinals

The Longhorns have been a dominant force in the SEC throughout the season. Their only blemish came at the hands of the SEC champion Georgia, a team that has consistently demonstrated its prowess. Texas has earned its place in the College Football Playoff (CFP), but facing Ohio State poses a daunting challenge. As excitement builds, fans and analysts alike are questioning whether Texas can rise to the occasion against such a formidable opponent.

3 reasons Texas won’t advance to the CFP title game

Despite their impressive season, there are several factors that suggest Texas may struggle against Ohio State in the CFP semifinals. Here are three critical reasons why their playoff journey might come to an end.

1. Bert Auburn’s slump

Kicking can often be the difference between victory and defeat in high-stakes games, and Texas’s kicker, Bert Auburn, has been experiencing a slump at the worst possible time. Over the last four games, Auburn has made only 7 of his 12 field goal attempts. Notably, he missed crucial kicks from 48 yards against Texas A&M and from 42 and 51 yards against Georgia. While he has been reliable throughout his career, his recent struggles raise concerns about Texas’s ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities against a tough opponent like Ohio State.

2. Red-zone issues

Texas’s red-zone offense has also faltered in recent weeks, which could be detrimental against a team like Ohio State. Throughout the season, the Longhorns scored 43 touchdowns in 67 red-zone appearances, translating to a 64.2% success rate. However, in their last four games, they have managed only six touchdowns in 16 red-zone trips, dropping their conversion rate to a dismal 37.5%. This decline is alarming, especially considering that Ohio State’s red-zone defense has been exceptionally effective, allowing just 14 touchdowns in 34 opposing red-zone trips (41.2%).

3. Ground game struggles

For a team that prided itself on a balanced offensive attack, Texas’s ground game has recently hit a snag. Averaging a respectable 4.46 yards per carry throughout the season, the Longhorns have seen their rushing numbers plummet in crucial moments. In two of their last three games, Texas managed a mere 31 and 53 rushing yards, which is far from ideal. Ohio State’s run defense, on the other hand, has been a nightmare for opponents, holding them under 3.0 yards per carry on eight occasions this season. In their quarterfinal game, Oregon was held to an astonishing -23 rushing yards. This trend does not bode well for Texas as they prepare to face the Buckeyes.

The Challenge Ahead

As Texas gears up for this monumental clash, the stakes couldn’t be higher. The Longhorns have proven they can compete at the highest level, but they will need to address these critical issues if they hope to advance. The combination of a struggling kicker, red-zone inefficiencies, and a faltering ground game creates a perfect storm of challenges that could derail their championship aspirations.

Ohio State, with its potent offense and relentless defense, will be looking to exploit these weaknesses. The Buckeyes have consistently shown they can capitalize on opponents’ mistakes, and Texas cannot afford to give them any extra opportunities.

What’s Next for Texas?

The Longhorns have a chance to rewrite the narrative and prove doubters wrong. If they can find a way to regain their offensive rhythm, particularly in the red zone and on the ground, they could surprise many. The key will be to establish a strong running game early, allowing their offense to flow and creating opportunities for their playmakers.

Additionally, Bert Auburn must shake off his recent struggles and regain his confidence. In high-pressure situations, a reliable kicker can be the difference between a win and a loss. Texas fans will be hoping that Auburn can rise to the occasion when it matters most.

As the anticipation builds for this electrifying matchup, the question remains: Can Texas overcome these obstacles and secure a place in the CFP title game? The answer lies in their ability to execute under pressure and rise to the occasion against one of college football’s elite teams.

What do you think of Texas’s chances? Share your thoughts in the comments below!

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