Ohio State has emerged as a formidable force in college football, entering the national title game as a strong favorite against Notre Dame. The Buckeyes have navigated their season with impressive skill, quietly dominating their opponents while other teams like Oregon and Texas garnered more headlines. As they prepare to face the Fighting Irish, Ohio State finds itself in a familiar yet precarious position—expected to win. But can they handle the pressure?
Understanding the stakes for Ohio State
The Buckeyes have been on a remarkable journey this season, showcasing their prowess by dominating three College Football Playoff (CFP) games. Now, with a 9.5-point spread favoring them against Notre Dame, the expectations are sky-high. However, the weight of being the favorite can be a double-edged sword. Ohio State has a history of struggling under the burden of expectations, particularly in high-stakes situations.
5 reasons Ohio State could lose to Notre Dame
As we dive deeper into this matchup, let’s explore five compelling reasons why Ohio State might find itself on the losing end against Notre Dame.
#1. The pressure of being the favorite
Ohio State has long suffered from expectations. Consider the four-game losing streak to Michigan or past postseason disappointments, including CFP blowouts. The Buckeyes have not dealt well with being favored in crucial games. While it’s reasonable to believe this season could be different, a history of big-game failures can weigh heavily on the players’ minds. If the game is close in the final minutes, the pressure on Ohio State will be significantly greater than that on Notre Dame.
#2. Notre Dame’s third-down excellence
One of the key factors in any football game is third-down efficiency, and Notre Dame has excelled in this area. Against the four ranked opponents they faced this season, the Irish converted third downs at rates of 60%, 54%, 29%, and an impressive 65%. While they had a rough outing against Georgia, their consistency in other big games—especially an 11 for 17 performance against Penn State—demonstrates their ability to keep drives alive. Ohio State, on the other hand, struggled on third downs during their two losses, allowing conversions of 50% and 43%. If Notre Dame can maintain this third-down success, it could be pivotal in the title game.
#3. The Irish ability to protect the QB
Another critical aspect of this matchup is how well Notre Dame can protect their quarterback, Riley Leonard. The Buckeyes have shown vulnerabilities when they fail to sack opposing quarterbacks, as evidenced by their two losses this season. Notre Dame has done a commendable job in this area, allowing just 23 sacks across 14 games. If they can keep Leonard clean, Ohio State may struggle to generate the defensive chaos necessary to secure a victory.
#4. Notre Dame’s running attack
The Fighting Irish boast a formidable running game, averaging 5.83 yards per carry, which ranks fourth in all of college football. They also average 210.8 rushing yards per game, placing them 14th nationally. Standout players like Jeremiyah Lowe, with 1,122 rushing yards, and quarterback Riley Leonard, who has rushed for 866 yards, make this offense a serious threat. Ohio State’s two games with the highest rushing yards allowed were their losses to Michigan (172 yards) and Oregon (155 yards). If Notre Dame can replicate that success on the ground, they will put themselves in a strong position to win.
#5. The ferocious Irish defense
Let’s not overlook the power of Notre Dame’s defense, which has been nothing short of spectacular this season. Averaging just 14.3 points allowed per game, they rank second in the nation—only behind Ohio State’s own defense. However, Notre Dame has proven capable of containing some of the most explosive offenses they’ve faced. They rank ninth nationally in total yardage allowed and fifth in third-down defense. The Irish’s ability to stifle Ohio State’s high-powered offense could be a game-changer.
What are Notre Dame’s chances?
As the national title game approaches, the question looms: can Notre Dame upset the Buckeyes? With a combination of a strong defense, an effective running game, and the ability to protect their quarterback, the Fighting Irish have the tools necessary to challenge Ohio State. The Buckeyes, while talented, must confront not only their opponents but also the weight of expectations that come with being the favorite.
The excitement builds as fans eagerly await this thrilling matchup. Will Ohio State rise to the occasion, or will Notre Dame seize the moment and pull off an upset? As the game day approaches, the anticipation is palpable. What do you think of Notre Dame’s chances at upsetting the Buckeyes? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
