Ohio State vs. Texas: Analyzing the Likelihood of a CFP Title Matchup

Week 14 bowl projections suggest Ohio State and Texas as the top contenders for the CFP title game.

The SEC and Big Ten championship games are heating up, and fans are buzzing with excitement over potential rematches from earlier top-five clashes. Imagine this: Oregon and Ohio State are set to rekindle their thrilling 32-31 showdown from October 12—if the Buckeyes can get past Michigan this Saturday. Meanwhile, Georgia is poised for a rematch against Texas, whom they defeated 30-15 on October 19, provided the Longhorns can overcome Texas A&M this weekend.

Assessing the Playoff Landscape

So, how do we position these matchups within the College Football Playoff bracket? It’s a tricky puzzle, and our Week 14 Bowl Projections reflect that uncertainty. Right now, we’re leaning towards Oregon and Texas emerging victorious in their respective games. But what does that mean for the playoff picture?

If Georgia falls short in the SEC championship, they could find themselves as the No. 8 seed, facing off against the top-seeded Oregon. That’s a daunting task for the Bulldogs, while Oregon would have to navigate a challenging matchup against a formidable SEC opponent. On the flip side, if Texas wins the SEC, they would enter as the No. 2 seed. This gives them a more favorable path compared to Ohio State, who could potentially face No. 12 Boise State or No. 4 Arizona State, depending on the seeding.

Looking Ahead: Championship Game Predictions

In the end, we anticipate a championship game featuring some combination of Oregon, Ohio State, Texas, and Georgia. Don’t count out Notre Dame, either; they could very well shake things up! The excitement is palpable as fans eagerly await the third set of College Football Playoff rankings, set to be unveiled on Tuesday.

Upcoming Playoff Schedule

Mark your calendars! The first round of the new College Football Playoff will kick off with one game on Friday, December 20, followed by three more on Saturday, December 21. The quarterfinals will take place at iconic venues: the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl on December 31, the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl, the Rose Bowl Game presented by Prudential, and the Allstate Sugar Bowl—all on January 1.

The semifinals will follow, with the Capital One Orange Bowl on January 9 and the Cotton Bowl Classic on January 10. Finally, the grand stage for the CFP national championship will be set for January 20 in Atlanta.

Week 14 Bowl Projections

As we gear up for the playoffs, let’s take a look at our bowl projections for Week 14. With 35 bowls featuring FBS teams outside the College Football Playoff, there’s plenty of action to anticipate. Here’s a glimpse at some exciting matchups:

DATE BOWL MATCHUP
Dec. 14 Camellia Bowl Ohio vs. James Madison
Dec. 17 Boca Raton Bowl Arkansas State vs. South Florida
Dec. 18 Scooter’s Coffee Frisco Bowl Louisiana vs. Liberty
Dec. 18 LA Bowl Hosted by Gronk UNLV vs. Kansas State
Dec. 19 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl Marshall vs. Jacksonville State
Dec. 20 Staffdna Cure Bowl East Carolina vs. Coastal Carolina
Dec. 20 Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl UConn vs. Florida
Dec. 23 Myrtle Beach Bowl Miami, Ohio vs. South Alabama
Dec. 23 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Toledo vs. San Jose State
Dec. 24 Hawaii Bowl Army vs. Colorado State
Dec. 26 Detroit Bowl Western Michigan vs. Rutgers
Dec. 26 Guaranteed Rate Bowl Oklahoma vs. Virginia Tech
Dec. 26 68 Ventures Bowl Georgia Southern vs. Buffalo
Dec. 27 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl West Virginia vs. Arkansas
Dec. 27 Birmingham Bowl Kansas vs. Vanderbilt
Dec. 27 Autozone Liberty Bowl TCU vs. LSU
Dec. 27 SDS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl Colorado vs. Duke
Dec. 27 DirecTV Holiday Bowl Cal vs. Texas Tech
Dec. 28 Wasabi Fenway Bowl Tulane vs. Syracuse
Dec. 28 Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl North Carolina vs. Nebraska
Dec. 28 Isleta New Mexico Bowl Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico
Dec. 28 Pop-Tarts Bowl Pitt vs. Baylor
Dec. 28 Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl presented by Gin & Juice Northern Illinois vs. Fresno State
Dec. 28 Go Bowling Military Bowl Navy vs. Boston College
Dec. 28 Valero Alamo Bowl Washington State vs. BYU
Dec. 28 Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl Memphis vs. Washington
Dec. 30 Transperfect Music City Bowl Minnesota vs. Missouri
Dec. 31 Reliaquest Bowl Michigan vs. Texas A&M
Dec. 31 Tony The Tiger Sun Bowl Georgia Tech vs. USC
Dec. 31 Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Illinois vs. Alabama
Dec. 31 Texas Bowl Iowa State vs. Ole Miss
Jan. 2 Taxslayer Gator Bowl Louisville vs. South Carolina
Jan. 3 Servpro First Responder Bowl UTSA vs. Texas State
Jan. 3 Duke’s Mayo Bowl Clemson vs. Iowa
Jan. 4 Bahamas Bowl Bowling Green vs. Sam Houston

Playoff Matchups to Watch

As we look ahead to the playoffs, let’s dive into the first-round matchups for the 2024-25 season. These games will be hosted on campus, adding an electric atmosphere to the proceedings:

DATE BOWL MATCHUP
Dec. 20 First-Round CFP game No. 11 SMU at No. 6 Penn State
Dec. 21 First-Round CFP game No. 9 Indiana at No. 8 Georgia
Dec. 21 First-Round CFP game No. 12 Boise State at No. 5 Ohio State
Dec. 21 First-Round CFP game No. 10 Tennessee at No. 7 Notre Dame

The matchup between Tennessee and Notre Dame stands out as particularly intriguing. These two storied programs have split their previous eight meetings, and it’s been nearly two decades since they last faced off.

Quarterfinal and Semifinal Predictions

Looking further down the line, here are our predictions for the quarterfinal matchups:

DATE BOWL MATCHUP
Dec. 31 Vrbo Fiesta Bowl (quarterfinal) No. 4 Arizona State vs. No. 5 Ohio State
Jan. 1 Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl (quarterfinal) No. 3 Miami vs. No. 6 Penn State
Jan. 1 Rose Bowl Game presented by Prudential (quarterfinal) No. 1 Oregon vs. No. 8 Georgia
Jan. 1 Allstate Sugar Bowl (quarterfinal) No. 2 Texas vs. No. 7 Notre Dame

And for the semifinals, we’re looking at:

DATE BOWL MATCHUP
Jan. 9 Capital One Orange Bowl (semifinal) No. 2 Texas vs. No. 6 Penn State
Jan. 10 Cotton Bowl Classic (semifinal) No. 1 Oregon vs. No. 5 Ohio State

What a thrilling playoff season we have ahead! With so much talent on display, the excitement is palpable. Will Texas capitalize on their home-field advantage? Can Oregon and Ohio State meet again in the semifinals? The questions are endless, and the answers will unfold on the field.

As we gear up for the championship game on January 20 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, one thing is certain: this season has the potential to be one for the ages!

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