ESPN’s Surprising Predictions for the College Football Playoff National Championship

ESPN's latest predictions for the College Football Playoff reveal unexpected frontrunners for the championship.

Families gathered around the country for the holidays this week had plenty to discuss, especially with the opening round of the College Football Playoff now behind us. As fans gear up for the next round, ESPN has provided some fresh fodder for conversation by releasing its updated predictions for the remaining eight teams in the CFP.

CFP Quarterfinals Preview

Boise State and Penn State will kick off the quarterfinals of the CFP with a highly anticipated showdown on New Year’s Eve. The excitement doesn’t stop there, as the other three games are set to unfold on New Year’s Day. Fans are eager to see how each team stacks up in their quest for the national title, and according to the SP+ rankings, there are some intriguing shifts in the odds since last week.

1. Ohio State — 19.8% (+7.3%)

Despite being the lowest seed remaining in the College Football Playoff, Ohio State stands tall with the best odds of winning it all, according to SP+. This assertion is hard to dispute after the Buckeyes delivered a commanding 42-17 victory over Tennessee in the opening round. They showcased their dominance in both the ground game and passing attack, outpacing the Volunteers in every aspect. Next up, Ohio State will face off against the Oregon Ducks, who previously edged them out 32-31 earlier this season. Can they avenge that loss?

2. Texas — 19.6% (+2.4%)

Texas saw a slight bump in its odds following a solid 38-24 victory over Clemson. The Longhorns’ offense was impressive, particularly their rushing game, which racked up 292 yards and four touchdowns. However, it wasn’t all smooth sailing; Clemson quarterback Cade Klubnik had a standout performance, throwing for 336 yards and three touchdowns. Texas will be looking to tighten up its defense as they prepare to take on Big 12 champion Arizona State on New Year’s Day at 1 p.m. ET.

3. Oregon — 17.6% (-2.8%)

Oregon may still hold the title of the No. 1 overall seed in the bracket, but they’ve lost their favorite status, according to the SP+. After a three-week break since their last game—a 45-37 win over Penn State in the Big Ten Championship—Oregon will need to remind everyone why they were once the top team. They’ll be looking to secure a second victory over Ohio State, a feat that hinges on avoiding turnovers, which played a crucial role in their previous matchup.

4. Penn State — 14.5% (+5.6%)

After suffering a defeat against Oregon, Penn State bounced back with a resounding 38-10 win over SMU in the opening round. The Nittany Lions’ defense was nothing short of spectacular, allowing only 253 total yards and forcing three interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns. As they gear up to face Boise State, Penn State’s defensive front will need to be at its best against the formidable running back, Ashton Jeanty.

5. Georgia — 14.2% (-2.4%)

Georgia’s journey in the playoffs has been a rollercoaster. They managed to defeat Texas for the second time this season, this time clinching the SEC Championship. However, the SP+ Rankings are not as convinced, placing the Bulldogs with the fifth-best odds to win it all. With starting quarterback Carson Beck sidelined due to elbow surgery, Gunner Stockton will take the helm. He showed promise in the SEC title game, completing 12 of 16 passes for 71 yards. Can he lead Georgia to victory?

6. Notre Dame — 13.1% (+4.2%)

Notre Dame’s 27-17 win over Indiana was the closest game in the opening round, but it was still a strong showing from the Fighting Irish. They balanced their offense well, combining for 201 rushing yards and 193 passing yards. However, they’ll face a tougher challenge against Georgia’s defense, which has proven to be formidable. Notre Dame is hungry for its first national title since 1924, and they’re not backing down.

7. Arizona State — 10.0% (+1.0%)

Bringing up the rear in the rankings is Arizona State, but don’t count them out just yet. Their season has already been magical, defying expectations after being predicted to finish last in the Big 12 preseason media poll. Now, they’re champions of the Big 12 in their inaugural year. Running back Cam Skattebo has emerged as a key player, boasting the fifth-most rushing yards in the country. He’ll be crucial as the Sun Devils prepare to clash with Texas.

8. Boise State — 9.8% (+0.0%)

Despite a significant drop-off in confidence from the SP+ Rankings, Boise State has shown resilience throughout the season. The Broncos have consistently taken care of business and nearly toppled No. 1 Oregon earlier in the year. With Heisman Trophy finalist Ashton Jeanty in the backfield, they remain a threat. In the Mountain West Championship, Jeanty exploded for 209 rushing yards and a touchdown. The Broncos are ready to make a statement.

As the College Football Playoff progresses, fans are in for a thrilling ride. With each team vying for glory, the stakes have never been higher. Who will emerge as the national champion? The excitement is palpable, and the journey is just beginning!

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