NFL Week 15 DFS Strategy: Top DraftKings and FanDuel Picks, Sleepers, and Value Plays

If you’ve been eyeing the main slate this week, you’ve probably noticed that the 4 o’clock games are packed with potential. However, don’t let that distract you! We have 12 exciting matchups to break down, and there are numerous ways to craft a winning DFS lineup. The key to success in Daily Fantasy Sports lies in identifying edges over your opponents. With a limited salary cap, creativity is essential.

Optimal Lineups for Week 15 DFS

Without further ado, let’s dive into the best picks for Week 15 DFS slates on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

DraftKings DFS Picks Week 15

Sunday Main Slate, $50,000 salary

QB: Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins at Texans ($6,100)

Tua Tagovailoa has been on fire lately, scoring at least **23.5 DK points** in four straight weeks. The Dolphins have shifted their offensive strategy, leaning heavily on the pass. Over the last month, Tagovailoa has averaged **42.25 pass attempts per game**, and Miami’s **11.9-percent pass rate over expectation** is tied for the league lead. This week, he faces the Houston Texans, who are equally pass-happy. This matchup is a prime target for DFS players.

RB: De’Von Achane, Dolphins at Texans ($7,900)

While Achane may fill a running back slot, his real value comes from his receiving skills. In games with Tagovailoa, Achane has averaged **six receptions per game**, which translates to a staggering **102 catches over a 17-game pace**. He’s been targeted heavily, especially last week, where his usage spiked in the absence of Raheem Mostert. If Mostert remains out, expect Achane to have a massive week.

RB: Chuba Hubbard, Panthers vs. Cowboys ($6,500)

Hubbard is stepping up due to injuries in the backfield. With Jonathon Brooks out and Miles Sanders on IR, Hubbard is likely to see **90 percent of the snaps** this week. Facing the Cowboys, who have the **No. 30 rushing defense**, Hubbard has the potential for a breakout performance. With Bryce Young’s recent improvement, don’t be surprised if Hubbard finds himself in goal-line situations, potentially hitting that **100-yard bonus**.

WR: Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins at Texans ($5,700)

The Miami offense has evolved throughout the season, and last week, Waddle emerged as a key target on quick passes. He was targeted **nine times** on throws within two seconds of the snap, a significant increase from his previous season-high of four. With a **34.4-percent first-read target share**, Waddle is trending upward, making him a valuable asset in this lineup.

WR: Amari Cooper, Bills at Lions ($5,300)

Cooper’s fantasy outlook can be unpredictable. He’s been a rotational receiver for the Bills, but his ability to earn targets remains impressive. Last week, he recorded **0.58 targets per route run**, the second-highest for any receiver this season. With the game projected at **54.5 total points**, Cooper is a compelling option for this slate.

TE: Zach Ertz, Commanders at Saints ($4,000)

Ertz may not be a game-changer, but he offers a solid floor. He has scored at least **12.5 DK points** in three consecutive weeks and has a **20-percent target share** in two of those games. With consistent endzone targets, Ertz is a reliable choice at tight end.

FLEX: Brian Robinson Jr., Commanders at Saints ($6,200)

Robinson has been the primary rusher for the Commanders, handling **63 percent** of the running back carries when healthy. With Washington favored by **7.5 points**, he should see plenty of work against a Saints defense allowing **5.0 yards per carry**, the highest in the league. Expect a strong performance from Robinson.

D/ST: Philadelphia Eagles, vs. Steelers ($3,100)

The battle for Pennsylvania promises to be a gritty affair. With a chance of rain and two run-heavy teams, it’s likely neither offense will find much rhythm. This matchup sets the stage for a strong defensive showing.

FanDuel DFS Picks Week 15

Sunday Main Slate, $60,000 salary cap

QB: Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins at Texans ($8,300)

FanDuel shows Tagovailoa a bit more love with a higher salary, but we’re still stacking him with the Dolphins. This matchup features two high-octane offenses, making it a potential shootout. It could easily turn into the highest-scoring game of the slate.

RB: De’Von Achane, Dolphins at Texans ($8,600)

Achane’s value as a receiver makes him a perfect pairing with Tagovailoa. His **six receiving touchdowns** lead the team, and his **63 receptions** rank second. His dual-threat ability makes him a must-have in your lineup.

RB: Braelon Allen, Jets at Jaguars ($6,400)

With Breece Hall still recovering from injury, Allen could see a significant workload. The Jets utilized both Allen and Isaiah Davis last week, but Allen’s size and style make him the better option against the Jaguars’ **No. 24 run defense**. Expect him to find the end zone.

WR: Nico Collins, Texans vs. Dolphins ($9,200)

Collins is a key piece in our Texans-Dolphins game stack. He’s one of the league’s top target earners, boasting an impressive **3.48 yards per route run**. Adding him to your lineup is a smart move, considering the high stakes of this matchup.

WR: Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins at Texans ($6,200)

Waddle rounds out our game stack and carries over from the DraftKings lineup. His recent uptick in usage makes him a valuable asset, especially if he continues to receive quick passes from Tagovailoa.

WR: Adam Thielen, Panthers vs. Cowboys ($6,100)

Thielen has reclaimed a high-volume role, drawing **26.3 percent** of the Panthers’ targets in the last two weeks. Against the Cowboys, he should continue to see plenty of looks, especially from the slot.

TE: Jake Ferguson, Cowboys at Panthers ($5,400)

Ferguson has solidified his role as the TE1 in Dallas, running **26 routes** last week. With the Panthers’ defense struggling against the pass, Ferguson is poised for a productive day.

FLEX: Jameson Williams, Lions vs. Bills ($6,400)

Williams is starting to challenge Amon-Ra St. Brown for targets, making him a valuable asset. His **19.4-percent target share** over the last month is impressive, and this matchup promises to be an exciting one.

D/ST: New England Patriots, at Cardinals ($3,100)

Can we really trust the Patriots’ defense? With the Cardinals averaging **15.3 PPG** over the last three weeks, they could be a sneaky play this week. If they can contain Marvin Harrison Jr., they might just surprise us.

As we gear up for an action-packed Week 15, remember to stay creative with your lineups and keep an eye on the injury reports. Happy drafting!

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