You’re either swimming upstream or floating downstream.
As for my picks, I seem to be floating downstream.
I posted a mediocre 8-8 straight up last week. YEESH! The silver lining? I went 9-7 against the spread.
This year, my performance against the spread (28-18-2) is almost as solid as my record straight up (30-18).
Simms fared slightly better straight up last week, going 9-7, but stumbled big time against the spread with a 5-11 record.
For the season, Simms stands at 28-20 straight up, with a subpar 22-24-2 against the spread.
Here are this week’s picks from the joint #PFTPM/Chris Simms Unbuttoned podcast, brought to you by Little Caesars.
We have five disagreements on outcomes and seven disagreements against the spread.
Cowboys (-6) at Giants
The Cowboys need to play like there’s no tomorrow. Simms and I are divided here.
- Florio: Cowboys, 28-23.
- Simms: Giants, 20-17.
Saints at Falcons (-2.5)
If the Falcons blow this one, their Monday night win at Philly won’t mean squat.
- Florio: Falcons, 24-20.
- Simms: Falcons, 23-20.
Bengals (-4.5) at Panthers
The Bengals are as desperate as a fish out of water.
- Florio: Bengals, 27-17.
- Simms: Bengals, 24-20.
Rams at Bears (-3)
This one is a coin flip. Currently, the Rams seem to have a bit more pep in their step.
- Florio: Rams, 23-21.
- Simms: Bears, 24-20.
Vikings at Packers (-3)
The Packers shouldn’t have been underdogs against the Colts and Titans. They shouldn’t be favored against the Vikings either.
- Florio: Vikings, 27-23.
- Simms: Packers, 23-19.
Jaguars at Texans (-6.5)
Both teams got a beatdown in Week 3. Only one seems ready to bounce back.
- Florio: Texans, 30-20.
- Simms: Texans, 28-20.
Steelers (-1.5) at Colts
The Steelers have the balance the Colts are currently craving.
- Florio: Steelers, 20-13.
- Simms: Steelers, 19-16.
Broncos at Jets (-7.5)
A late score gives the Jets the cover, with Aaron Rodgers looking to make a statement against Sean Payton.
- Florio: Jets, 24-13.
- Simms: Jets, 27-21.
Eagles (-2.5) at Buccaneers
Philadelphia might have saved their season against the Saints.
- Florio: Eagles, 21-17.
- Simms: Eagles, 28-20.
Commanders at Cardinals (-3.5)
Jayden Daniels is the truth, and Kliff Kingsbury knows just how to exploit Kyler Murray’s strengths.
- Florio: Commanders, 28-23.
- Simms: Cardinals, 30-21.
Patriots at 49ers (-10.5)
The 49ers need to right the ship immediately.
- Florio: 49ers, 27-10.
- Simms: 49ers, 27-17.
Chiefs (-8) at Chargers
Why is Kansas City an 8-point favorite in this matchup?
- Florio: Chiefs, 24-22.
- Simms: Chiefs, 23-20.
Browns at Raiders (-2)
“Which team is worse?”
- Florio: Raiders, 20-14.
- Simms: Browns, 17-16.
Bills at Ravens (-2.5)
The Ravens are desperate, or at least they should be.
- Florio: Ravens, 23-20.
- Simms: Ravens, 28-24.
Titans at Dolphins (-1)
If Miami drops this one, they might struggle to win any more without Tua.
- Florio: Dolphins, 26-17.
- Simms: Dolphins, 20-17.
Seahawks at Lions (-3.5)
Seattle has yet to be truly tested this year. Detroit will be their proving ground.
- Florio: Lions, 29-21.
- Simms: Lions, 31-24.
