National college football analyst Josh Pate has a straightforward take on the upcoming Fiesta Bowl clash between Penn State and Boise State: the Nittany Lions have the talent and capability to win, but they can only beat themselves. With so much at stake, the pressure is on Penn State to deliver a strong performance.
Key Matchups to Watch
One of the most critical matchups in this game will be between Boise State’s standout running back, Ashton Jeanty, and Penn State’s formidable run defense. Jeanty has been nothing short of sensational this season, consistently rushing for over 140 yards per game. Pate believes that while Jeanty is a "special player," the Nittany Lions are more than equipped to contain him.
“Ashton Jeanty vs. Penn State’s run defense – the most important matchup in this game,” Pate emphasized. Jeanty could potentially replicate the magic of the 2007 Fiesta Bowl, where Boise State pulled off a stunning upset against Oklahoma. However, Pate asserts that for Boise State to have a chance, Jeanty must have a standout performance. “There is no world where Boise wins without him going off,” he said.
Penn State’s Offensive Strategy
Looking at Penn State’s offensive game plan, Pate notes that the Nittany Lions may need to adjust their strategy compared to their last outing against SMU. In that game, the weather played a significant role, limiting their passing game. “I am a believer that the weather affected Penn State as well,” Pate stated. But with the Fiesta Bowl taking place indoors at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, the conditions will be perfect for a more dynamic offensive approach.
Pate believes that Penn State’s passing game has improved significantly, particularly after the Big Ten Championship game against Oregon. “I actually think that passing game turned a corner,” he said. With a temperature-controlled environment, expect the Nittany Lions to unleash their aerial attack, which is arguably one of their biggest strengths.
The Importance of a Win
A victory for Penn State would not only bolster their season but also have significant implications for the Big Ten Conference. Pate pointed out that a win over Boise State could position the conference for back-to-back national titles. This would serve as a major validation for head coach James Franklin, who is under pressure to deliver in this high-stakes matchup.
“James Franklin – I’m gonna say this one more time: I am a believer that the draw that Penn State got puts a ton of pressure on them to win both these games,” Pate noted. The Nittany Lions have already secured one victory, but they must win this game to keep their championship dreams alive. “They’ve got to at least be in the semifinals against Georgia or Notre Dame for this season to be a success,” he added.
Defensive Strengths and Weaknesses
While the focus often leans toward the offensive strategies, the defensive battle will be equally crucial. Penn State boasts a top-10 run defense nationally, which will be vital in containing Jeanty. Pate is confident that the Nittany Lions’ defense will rise to the occasion. “They did not throw the ball well against SMU,” he remarked, but with a solid defensive showing, they can afford to focus on their offensive strengths.
On the flip side, Boise State’s pass defense has struggled this season, ranking in the 100s. Pate sees this as a significant mismatch. “Drew Allar against Boise’s pass defense – it’s a mismatch,” he pointed out, indicating that the Nittany Lions could exploit this weakness effectively.
Game Day Expectations
As the excitement builds for the Fiesta Bowl, fans can look forward to a thrilling matchup that kicks off at 7:30 p.m. ET on New Year’s Eve. With both teams bringing their unique strengths to the field, the anticipation is palpable. Will Penn State’s balanced attack and strong defense be enough to overcome Boise State’s explosive playmaker?
Pate believes that if the Nittany Lions can play to their potential and avoid self-inflicted wounds, they will emerge victorious. “There is a world where Jeanty gets his 155 yards and Penn State still wins comfortably,” he said, highlighting the depth of talent on the Nittany Lions roster.
In summary, the Fiesta Bowl promises to be an electrifying contest filled with high stakes and intense competition. With so much on the line, both teams will be looking to make a statement. As fans gear up for this monumental clash, the question remains: can Penn State rise to the occasion and secure a spot in the national semifinals? The answer will unfold on the field, and it’s sure to be a game worth watching.
