Preseason Trends: Expect More Touchbacks This Season

Preseason stats highlight a trend of increased touchbacks, suggesting fewer kick returns in the regular season.

When the regular season kicks off on Thursday night, the NFL will unleash a groundbreaking transformation to the kickoff formation. Whether this bold new method will have a seismic impact on the game’s dynamics remains to be seen.

The Preseason Tale of the Tape

Based on a thrilling 49 preseason games, the stats whisper that teams aren’t straying from their old habits — boot the ball out of the end zone and start the drive at the touchback point. Sure, that touchback point has shifted from the 25 to the 30, but the preseason figures are nudging teams to go with the safe bet — send it soaring deep, line up at the 30, and keep things predictable.

Statistical Breakdown

  • Average Starting Field Position: 28.8 yard line overall
  • Average Starting Point for Returned Kickoffs: 28 yard line
  • Returned Kickoffs from the End Zone: Averaged a 23.3 yard line start

With these numbers, teams find themselves grappling with a delicate risk-reward conundrum. Pinning an offense deeper than the 30? That’s a win. Giving up a long return? That’s playing with fire.

Playing Their Cards Close: The Preseason and Beyond

But hold on! Teams might have been keeping their strategic cards hidden in preseason. Conversations with league insiders suggest some teams are cooking up the idea of their kicker delivering a line drive to the 20-yard zone, aiming for a bounce into the end zone. That would force the return man into a tough decision — take a knee and start at the 20 or risk a return.

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A source adds color to this strategy: "A team trailing in the fourth quarter, steering clear of a risky onside kick, might aim to pin the opposition around the 20. If they can force a punt, they get sweet field position." Starting a drive at the 30 and even just inching forward five yards in three plays, means punting from the 35 — a boon for the trailing team if they can force a boot.

For the team with the lead, the strategy chills to a colder, more calculated decision: opt for the guaranteed touchback.

What Lies Ahead?

All in all, the preseason intel leads to a general vibe that the new kickoff won’t rock the boat too much. The tried-and-true boomer might still dominate. However, the regular season foothills loom, and with those games, fresher metrics will emerge. Fans brace themselves for kickoff returns—if and when they happen.

The Inevitable Conclusion

Ultimately, many aficionados believe that the kickoff’s essence stays intact—only now, the offense has a 70-yard trek to the end zone instead of 75. From the league’s vantage point, fewer kickoffs equate to fewer injuries—an undeniable win in the name of safety. The NFL can tip its hat to at least attempting to breathe life into a play many had dubbed dead.

So, folk, buckle up! As the pigskin flies under these new rules, we’ll witness whether teams stick to the conservative route or if we’ll see cunning strategists mix things up. Welcome to a season of calculated risks, and let’s savor every yard of it.

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