The NFL fantasy landscape can be a minefield, especially when it comes to Thursday night games. Fantasy managers are always looking for that perfect start to their week, and Week 9 presents a unique challenge with an AFC interdivision clash between the 6-2 Texans and the struggling 2-6 Jets in New York (Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime Video).
As we gear up for this matchup, it’s crucial to analyze the current state of both teams. The Texans are facing a significant hurdle, as they will be without two of their top three receivers. Meanwhile, the Jets have been unable to find their rhythm in the passing game, even after upgrading their receiving corps. Following the high-scoring Rams-Vikings shootout from Week 8, we might be looking at a more subdued scoring affair this time around.
Start ‘Em: Key Players to Watch
When it comes to starting players, there are a few names that stand out in this matchup.
Joe Mixon, RB, Houston Texans: Mixon has been a revelation for the Texans, ranking as the No. 2 running back in average fantasy half-point PPR points per game. With the Jets struggling against the run lately, he could be in for a big night. His explosiveness and ability to find the end zone make him a must-start.
Breece Hall, RB, New York Jets: Hall has been a bit of a rollercoaster this season, sitting at RB16 in average half-point PPR scoring. He has the potential to explode, but consistency has been an issue. The key for Hall will be getting enough touches to showcase his game-breaking ability.
Garrett Wilson, WR, New York Jets: Wilson is the most reliable target for Aaron Rodgers, and he has favorable matchups against the Texans’ secondary. Expect the Jets to find creative ways to get him open, making him a solid start this week.
Likely Plays: Who to Consider
In addition to the must-starts, there are a few players who could be worth your attention.
Davante Adams, WR, New York Jets: Adams has been struggling to get open, but he’s due for a breakout game. With Rodgers needing to establish a connection with him, this could be the week he finally delivers a vintage performance, including a potential red zone touchdown.
Ka’imi Fairbairn, K, Houston Texans: Fairbairn ranks as the No. 6 kicker in average scoring. Given the Texans’ red zone struggles, he could be called upon to convert a few field goals, making him a valuable asset in your lineup.
Thursday Night Football Sleepers
Looking for some under-the-radar players? Here are a couple of defenses that could surprise you.
New York Jets D/ST: The Jets’ defense has the potential to capitalize on the Texans’ passing game struggles. With a strong pass rush and the ability to create turnovers, they could be a sneaky play this week.
Houston Texans D/ST: The Texans’ defense has been solid under DeMeco Ryans, ranking as the 12th best fantasy defense. While Rodgers can be efficient, there’s always a chance for turnovers, making the Texans’ defense a viable option.
Sit ‘Em: Avoid These Players
While there are plenty of players to consider, some should be left on your bench.
C.J. Stroud, QB, Houston Texans: Stroud has struggled to find his footing, ranking as QB22 in average scoring. With limited weapons and the Jets’ tough secondary, it’s best to avoid starting him this week.
Aaron Rodgers, QB, New York Jets: Rodgers has been inconsistent, sitting at QB21 in average scoring. Although he has the potential to produce, the risk outweighs the reward, especially given his lack of 300-yard games this season.
Tank Dell, WR, Houston Texans: Dell may be a desperation play, but he’s likely to face heavy coverage from the Jets’ top corners. It’s a tough matchup that could limit his production.
Dalton Schultz, TE, Houston Texans: Schultz has struggled this season, ranking as TE28. With the passing game in flux, he’s not a reliable option this week.
Tyler Conklin, TE, New York Jets: Conklin is a touchdown-dependent player who may not find the end zone again this week. It’s best to look elsewhere for tight end production.
DraftKings and FanDuel Lineup Suggestions
If you’re looking to build your fantasy lineups for this Thursday night showdown, consider these mock lineups:
DraftKings mock showdown lineup
- Captain (1.5x): Joe Mixon, RB, Texans ($16,500)
- FLEX: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Jets ($9,000)
- FLEX: Garrett Wilson, WR, Jets ($9,600)
- FLEX: Ka’imi Fairbairn, K, Texans ($5,400)
- FLEX: Texans D/ST ($4,600)
- FLEX: Jets D/ST ($3,400)
FanDuel mock single-game lineup
- MVP: (1.5x): Joe Mixon, RB, Texans ($16,500)
- AnyFLEX: Garrett Wilson, WR, Jets ($13,500)
- AnyFLEX: Aaron Rodgers, QB, Jets ($13,000)
- AnyFLEX: Texans D/ST ($8,500)
- AnyFLEX: Jets D/ST ($8,500)
As we look ahead to this matchup, it’s shaping up to be a low-scoring affair, with a projected total of around 42 points. The Texans’ passing game is hard to trust, but Mixon and their defense could be key factors in this game. With the Jets slightly favored at home, expect some big plays from their defense as they try to stifle the Texans’ offense.
Get ready for an exciting night of football!
