With a massive slate of Saturday games, college football’s bowl season is in full swing. While football is often viewed as a more predictable sport compared to basketball, the thrill of upsets keeps fans on the edge of their seats. The underdog team that surprises the favorite is a storyline that never gets old, and this year’s bowl season is no exception.
Best upset picks for the 2024 college football bowl season
Here are five bowl underdogs worth considering for upset storylines that could shake up the postseason landscape.
#1. Boise State
The Broncos find themselves as significant underdogs against either SMU or Penn State in their second-round playoff game. However, the presence of Ashton Jeanty, arguably the best player in the nation, could turn the tide in Boise State’s favor. Jeanty has proven he can run wild against any opponent, and a team with the game’s top player is hard to overlook. Will he lead the Broncos to a stunning upset?
#2. UConn (+2)
The spread may be low, but don’t underestimate the Huskies. UConn’s 8-4 record is impressive, especially considering their last bowl win came in 2009. They will be highly motivated to make a statement in this lower-tier bowl game. In contrast, North Carolina, with a 6-6 record, has already parted ways with their coach and is in a state of limbo. How much enthusiasm can they muster under interim coach Freddie Kitchens? The edge appears to be with UConn, who will be eager to seize this opportunity.
#3. Arkansas State (+7)
The Red Wolves may be underdogs, but they have a compelling case for an upset. With a 7-5 record, they were outscored by over a touchdown per game, raising questions about their chances. Yet, they excelled in close games, going 6-1 in one-score matchups this season. They face Bowling Green, who has struggled in similar situations, going just 1-3 in one-score games. If it comes down to a nail-biter, shouldn’t Arkansas State be favored to pull off the upset?
#4. Toledo (+6.5)
Toledo may have stumbled in their final two games, but they have the potential to capitalize on Pittsburgh’s struggles. The Rockets averaged just under 3.5 yards per carry, which isn’t eye-popping, but they can exploit a Panthers defense that has allowed over 250 passing yards in four of their last five games. Pittsburgh is reeling after losing their last five games, and Toledo’s consistency could be the key to pulling off an upset.
#5. Tennessee (+7)
Tennessee might not be the explosive team they were in previous seasons, but they have made significant strides defensively. Their points allowed per game have dropped dramatically over the past five years, culminating in just 13.9 this season. While they may not outscore Ohio State in a high-octane shootout, they can grind the game down to a battle. Ohio State has struggled in tight games, going 2-2 in one-score matchups this season. With all the pressure on the Buckeyes, Tennessee’s defense could create the opportunities needed for a gritty 27-24 victory.
As college football fans, we know that anything can happen during bowl season. The thrill of the unexpected is what makes this time of year so exciting. Whether it’s a powerhouse team falling to an underdog or a last-minute play that changes the course of a game, the drama of college football captivates us all.
What do you think of our bowl upset picks? Are there any underdogs you believe could pull off a stunning victory? Share your thoughts in the comments section below, and let’s discuss the potential for surprises in this thrilling postseason!
